Development on these factors to dictate the trend – Weekly Market Newsletter

Development on these factors to dictate the trend – Weekly Market Newsletter


By Monergise

Market Overview

The global markets continued to march ahead on the back of improving macro data in the US and Europe and better than expected earnings announcement. The optimism was despite stalling of stimulus talks between Democrats and the government. Further, Trump’s executive order of banning US transactions with Tencent’s We Chat and Bytedance’s Tik Tok kept investors nervous. Back in India, the equity markets rebounded this week led by support from global markets, better than expected auto sales numbers, key announcement by HDFC bank and dovish RBI policy. The demand in the auto  volumes continued to witness recovery in the month of July with tractors leading the show and two-wheelers and PVs seeing signs of normalcy.

Also, HDFC bank announced that RBI has approved appointment of Sashidhar Jagdishan as the next managing director of the bank, putting rest to all speculations and uncertainty. Despite no rate cut, the RBI policy was a dovish one as it allowed restructuring of loans for MSMEs, announced a resolution framework for COVID-19 stress, and hint of more rate cuts going forward. In the midst all, the markets chose to ignore the weak PMI manufacturing and services data and elevated inflation outlook. Nonetheless, the Nifty and Sensex closed with healthy gains of  1.3% and 1.2%. The rally was not only confined to select largecaps as the broader market witnessed strong buying interest as both the midcap and smallcap indices ended higher by 3.3% and 5.0%. Fund flow wise, FII were net buyers to the tune of Rs. 9,500 cr whereas DIIs sold stock worth Rs. 2,100 cr.

Market Outlook

After the negotiations broke down between the White House and the Democrats, Donald Trump signed an executive order on August 8, restoring enhanced unemployment payments to the tens of millions of Americans who lost jobs in the pandemic. This could lift the sentiments for the markets. On the flip side, the US – China trade tensions have yet again escalated recently and updates on this front would be one of the key monitorables for the markets.

On the domestic front, on Monday (August 10), the Supreme Court would be hearing the AGR case and stocks like Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Idea would be focus along with some of the banking names as well (which have high loan exposure to these companies). Moreover, key macro data like IIP and CPI would remain in focus especially the CPI numbers as inflation has inched up meaningfully in the recent months. The earnings announcement from companies like Glenmark Pharma, Ashok Leyland, Akzo Nobel, V-mart Retail, Natco Pharma, Aurobindo Pharma, Cummins, Cholamandalam, Shriram City Union, Bosch, and Bank of Baroda would be in focus.

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Monergise helps you learn and stay updated with the current market and investment trends which would enable you to make better investment decisions. Our team of finance professionals publishes articles on latest market trends, industry reports, stock analysis, investment planning, and personal finance. Our articles are also suitably designed to aid our readers towards better financial learning. We are a group of finance professionals having experience of more than 10 years in Indian markets.